Evidence

The numbers suggest TASC belongs in the national infrastructure conversation

The most useful way to test a project like TASC is not with slogans, but with transparent assumptions, comparable benchmarks, and order-of-magnitude numbers.

On a simple illustrative build assumption, a fully developed corridor could plausibly sit in the range of roughly 168 to 303 TWh of annual electricity production. The central case is about 231 TWh per year.

Why quantify it

Big ideas need numbers early

The aim of these figures is not false precision. The aim is to test whether TASC is merely interesting, or large enough to change national economics if executed well.

Once the scale is quantified, better questions follow. Is the energy output big enough to matter? What kinds of industry does that scale enable? How much compute could it anchor? How material is water relative to energy? What becomes economically plausible if cheap power exists in very large volume?

This page is designed to move the discussion from concept to scale.

Assumptions

Transparent inputs matter more than overconfidence

These scenarios are built from simple, explainable assumptions rather than detailed engineering claims.

Indicative corridor geometry

This page models a simple illustrative case based on a corridor around 1 km wide and roughly 2,400 km long from Kalgoorlie to Longreach. That implies about 2,400 square kilometres of gross corridor area.

Solar land intensity

Illustrative scenarios assume between 40 MW and 60 MW of installed solar capacity per square kilometre, depending on design density, setbacks, servicing, and technology mix.

Solar yield

Illustrative scenarios assume an effective annual capacity factor between 20% and 24%. This is intended to be directionally realistic for strong inland Australian solar rather than a claim about a final engineered design.

What these numbers are

These are order-of-magnitude scenarios for strategic thinking. They are not final route design, not a feasibility study, and not investment advice.

Illustrative full-build potential

Three scenarios for what a fully built TASC could produce

Even conservative assumptions produce very large numbers.

Conservative

Solar density

40 MW/km²

Installed capacity

96 GW

Annual generation

168 TWh/year

Average continuous power

19.2 GW average

Relative to Australia

59% of Australia’s 2024 electricity generation

A lower-density, lower-yield case that still lands at national scale.

Base case

Solar density

50 MW/km²

Installed capacity

120 GW

Annual generation

231 TWh/year

Average continuous power

26.4 GW average

Relative to Australia

81% of Australia’s 2024 electricity generation

A simple central case using 2 hectares per MW and a strong inland solar yield.

Stretch

Solar density

60 MW/km²

Installed capacity

144 GW

Annual generation

303 TWh/year

Average continuous power

34.6 GW average

Relative to Australia

107% of Australia’s 2024 electricity generation

A denser, higher-yield case showing how large the corridor could become if the build is optimised.

The central takeaway is simple:

a fully built TASC is not niche renewables. It is electricity-system scale.

What that energy could support

The point is not just energy volume. It is what the energy can anchor.

Compute and data centres

In the base case, 231 TWh a year equates to about 26.4 GW of average continuous facility load. That is enough electricity to support a globally significant compute footprint if power, cooling, and fibre are designed properly.

Share of global AI infrastructure demand

If the base-case output were directed entirely to AI-related data-centre load, it would be equivalent to roughly 17% of McKinsey’s 156 GW global AI-related data-centre capacity demand estimate for 2030.

Hydrogen as a secondary use

If only one quarter of the base-case output were diverted to electrolysis, it could theoretically support roughly 1.1 million tonnes of hydrogen per year. That reinforces the idea that hydrogen should be a selective secondary use, not the sole rationale for the corridor.

Desalination is not the energy bottleneck

At around 3 kWh per cubic metre for seawater reverse osmosis treatment, 1 TWh of electricity corresponds to about 333 million cubic metres of treated water before pumping and distribution. Energy matters, but conveyance and system design matter just as much.

These comparisons are not arguments for a single use case. They show that once the energy base becomes large enough, the corridor can support multiple major industries at once.

Strategic context

The world is moving toward exactly these kinds of power demands

TASC is not being proposed into a static world. It is being proposed into a world where energy, compute, storage, and industrial location are shifting quickly.

Australia already has the resource base

The core proposition behind TASC is not speculative: Australia has world-class solar conditions, vast land availability, strong political stability, and deep relevance in energy, technology, and strategic supply chains.

The world is building around electricity

Industrial competitiveness is increasingly being shaped by access to cheap, scalable power. AI, electrification, storage, and strategic manufacturing all increase the value of abundant electricity.

Data-centre demand is reshaping power systems

Global data-centre demand is projected to more than triple by 2030. That is one reason large, reliable power precincts are becoming more strategically valuable.

Power now attracts industry, not just households

The next major investment wave is not only about feeding existing grids. It is about creating new precincts where power can anchor compute, processing, logistics, and future regional development.

Supporting source base

The argument is broader than one spreadsheet

These indicative numbers sit inside a wider evidence base around compute growth, strategic industry, supply chains, and realistic energy-use priorities.

McKinsey on compute demand

McKinsey’s 2025 compute analysis frames AI-related data-centre demand at very large scale by 2030. That makes reliable, power-rich locations more strategically important than they were even a few years ago.

McKinsey on data-centre geography

The wider McKinsey data-centre work points to capacity growth, grid pressure, water constraints, and the growing value of locations that can combine power, land, and infrastructure at scale.

Austrade on battery and mineral depth

Austrade’s lithium-ion value-chain work supports the broader industrial case: Australia already has major mineral, processing, infrastructure, and investment advantages that could support more downstream activity.

Nature on hydrogen realism

The hydrogen literature is useful because it sharpens the hierarchy of uses. The strongest case for hydrogen is selective industrial and system support, not treating hydrogen as the single answer to everything.

That is useful because it stops the page sounding like a stand-alone thought experiment. The energy numbers matter more when they line up with external shifts that are already underway.

What these numbers really mean

The corridor is large enough to justify serious strategic attention

TASC is potentially big enough to matter at national scale.
A fully built corridor could underpin multiple industries, not just one flagship use case.
Compute is one of the strongest early demand anchors because it monetises reliable power quickly.
Water is serious, but at corridor scale it is more a systems-design challenge than an absolute energy barrier.
Hydrogen can fit, but the numbers suggest it should sit behind higher-value electricity uses rather than displace them.
The corridor is not credible because it is large. It is credible if the early nodes prove that this scale can be unlocked in stages.

Important caution

Big numbers do not remove the need for discipline

Scale does not equal feasibility

A large theoretical resource does not automatically produce a bankable project.

Node quality still matters

The early nodes still have to clear the practical hurdles that matter: land, approvals, storage, fibre, water, logistics, workforce, and capital discipline.

Sequencing matters more than slogans

The strategic value lies in the scale. The credibility lies in building the right nodes in the right order.

TASC still has to clear the real-world hurdles that matter: land, approvals, transmission, storage, cooling, fibre, water, logistics, workforce, sequencing, and capital discipline.

The numbers make TASC worth taking seriously. They do not make it easy.

Closing thought

On a simple build assumption, TASC sits in the same conversation as national infrastructure, not niche renewables.

A central-case output of roughly 231 TWh per year is large enough to support globally relevant compute, major industrial precincts, selective hydrogen production, and substantial water systems.

That does not prove the project. But it does show that the idea is large enough to warrant rigorous attention.

The next question is not whether the scale is meaningful. The next question is whether the first nodes can be built in a way that unlocks it.